Search results for "Bayes factors"

showing 3 items of 3 documents

Rejection odds and rejection ratios: A proposal for statistical practice in testing hypotheses

2016

Much of science is (rightly or wrongly) driven by hypothesis testing. Even in situations where the hypothesis testing paradigm is correct, the common practice of basing inferences solely on p-values has been under intense criticism for over 50 years. We propose, as an alternative, the use of the odds of a correct rejection of the null hypothesis to incorrect rejection. Both pre-experimental versions (involving the power and Type I error) and post-experimental versions (depending on the actual data) are considered. Implementations are provided that range from depending only on the p-value to consideration of full Bayesian analysis. A surprise is that all implementations -- even the full Baye…

Bayes' ruleFOS: Computer and information sciencesComputer sciencemedia_common.quotation_subjectBayesian probabilityBayesian01 natural sciencesArticle050105 experimental psychologyStatistical powerOddsMethodology (stat.ME)010104 statistics & probabilityFrequentist inferenceBayes factorsEconometrics0501 psychology and cognitive sciencesp-value0101 mathematicsFrequentistPsychology(all)General PsychologyStatistics - Methodologymedia_commonMathematicsStatistical hypothesis testingApplied Mathematics05 social sciencesBayes factorSurpriseOddsNull hypothesisType I and type II errorsJournal of Mathematical Psychology
researchProduct

Retract p < 0.005 and propose using JASP, instead

2018

Seeking to address the lack of research reproducibility in science, including psychology and the life sciences, a pragmatic solution has been raised recently:  to use a stricter p < 0.005 standard for statistical significance when claiming evidence of new discoveries. Notwithstanding its potential impact, the proposal has motivated a large mass of authors to dispute it from different philosophical and methodological angles. This article reflects on the original argument and the consequent counterarguments, and concludes with a simpler and better-suited alternative that the authors of the proposal knew about and, perhaps, should have made from their Jeffresian perspective: to use a Bayes …

0301 basic medicineData SharingOpen scienceComputer scienceresearch evidenceGeneral Biochemistry Genetics and Molecular Biology03 medical and health sciences0302 clinical medicineArgumentFrequentist inferenceOrder (exchange)practical significanceBayes factorsPrior probabilityreplicabilityp-valueGeneral Pharmacology Toxicology and Pharmaceuticsreproducibilitystatistical significancePotential impactGeneral Immunology and MicrobiologyPerspective (graphical)Bayes factorArticlesGeneral MedicineOpinion ArticleEpistemology030104 developmental biologyp-values030217 neurology & neurosurgeryF1000Research
researchProduct

Molecular evolution and complete genome sequences in forensic analysis: Neisseria gonorrhoeae in a transmission case

2019

Molecular epidemiology and phylogenetic analyses are frequently used in the investigation of viral transmission cases in forensic contexts. Here, we present the methods and results of the analysis of a bacterial transmission in an alleged child abuse case using complete genome sequences obtained by high-throughput sequencing (HTS) methods.

Child abuseHigh-throughput sequencingMolecular epidemiologyPhylogenetic treeComputational biologyBiologymedicine.disease_causeGenomeDNA sequencingPathology and Forensic Medicinelaw.inventionTransmission (mechanics)lawMolecular evolutionBayes factorsGeneticsNeisseria gonorrhoeaemedicinephylogenetic treeMaximum likelihoodPhylogenetic tree
researchProduct